Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.000191 0.000214 0.000238 0.000266 0.000297 0.000330 0.000369
2025-02-16 0.000157 0.000187 0.000222 0.000264 0.000314 0.000372 0.000444
2025-02-23 0.000132 0.000166 0.000208 0.000261 0.000327 0.000409 0.000516
2025-03-02 0.000112 0.000148 0.000193 0.000255 0.000336 0.000440 0.000582
2025-03-09 0.000098 0.000135 0.000184 0.000253 0.000348 0.000475 0.000657
2025-03-16 0.000087 0.000125 0.000177 0.000252 0.000361 0.000512 0.000737
2025-03-23 0.000079 0.000117 0.000171 0.000253 0.000376 0.000551 0.000823
2025-03-30 0.000071 0.000109 0.000164 0.000251 0.000385 0.000584 0.000902
2025-04-06 0.000065 0.000103 0.000160 0.000253 0.000400 0.000625 0.000997
2025-04-13 0.000060 0.000098 0.000156 0.000254 0.000413 0.000663 0.001090
2025-04-20 0.000055 0.000091 0.000150 0.000250 0.000419 0.000691 0.001168
2025-04-27 0.000052 0.000090 0.000151 0.000259 0.000444 0.000752 0.001304
2025-05-04 0.000049 0.000086 0.000149 0.000262 0.000461 0.000802 0.001432
2025-05-11 0.000045 0.000082 0.000146 0.000264 0.000478 0.000853 0.001566
2025-05-18 0.000042 0.000078 0.000142 0.000263 0.000489 0.000895 0.001685
2025-05-25 0.000038 0.000073 0.000136 0.000258 0.000492 0.000924 0.001785
2025-06-01 0.000036 0.000069 0.000132 0.000257 0.000502 0.000963 0.001909
2025-06-08 0.000033 0.000066 0.000129 0.000257 0.000514 0.001009 0.002048
2025-06-15 0.000031 0.000064 0.000127 0.000258 0.000527 0.001059 0.002200
2025-06-22 0.000029 0.000061 0.000123 0.000256 0.000535 0.001098 0.002334
2025-06-29 0.000027 0.000059 0.000121 0.000258 0.000551 0.001154 0.002507
2025-07-06 0.000026 0.000056 0.000119 0.000259 0.000564 0.001206 0.002676
2025-07-13 0.000024 0.000054 0.000115 0.000255 0.000568 0.001238 0.002806